And so it begins.
This afternoon, the Twins hit the rumor wire as word spread that they were talking to the Washington Nationals about a trade involving centerfielder Denard Span.
At first, I thought this had to be some kind of joke. Certainly Bill Smith wouldn’t be looking at the results of the past two series and think, “We seem to have too much offense on this team right now, especially at the top of the order… there’s no way we have room for Denard Span when he’s ready to return.” Would he? Ken Rosenthal at FOX seems to think so.
Is it possible Smith has looked at Ben Revere’s hitting lately and figured he’s just what a contender needs leading off? Yes, the guy is great to have in the outfield, but he’s almost been the worst looking hitter in the Twins’ batting order lately.
Almost.
The worst, of course, has been shortstop Tsuyoshi Nishioka. I’m 55 years old and I’d be willing to bet I would at least look better swinging lefthanded than Nishi has and I’d have almost as many hits. NONE would be “almost as many” as Nishi’s had lately. In last night’s game wrap-up, I mentioned that if I were the GM, I’d be looking for a shortstop who might sniff at getting a hit occasionally. And therein lies the rub.
The Nationals need a centerfielder and they apparently feel they have an extra middle infielder. Word is, they’re shopping shortstop Ian Desmond and would shift their current second baseman to shortstop in order to make room for a rookie they think is ready to come up to the Big Leagues. (That rookie’s name is Stephen Lombardozzi, by the way… a name that should sound familiar to Twins fans. Yes, he’s the son of THAT Steve Lombardozzi). The Nats also have a couple of right handed relief pitchers that they may be willing to part with.
So… if you got Desmond and a productive reliever for Span, would you make the deal?
Not me.
First of all, if the Twins don’t score more than two runs a game, all the relief pitching in the world won’t help. They need more offense and the most likely way they can get it is to get Span back in the line up and let Revere take over 4th outfielder duties. Second, Desmond’s stats aren’t all that much better, if at all, than Nishioka’s and they certainly are nowhere near Span’s. Rosenthal mentions that Desmond’s .584 OPS is the lowest in the National League… but I guess it’s still better than Nishi’s .544 OPS, right?
I don’t blame the Nationals for wanting to make a deal with Bill Smith. They clearly are fondly recalling the deal they got in return for Matt Capps a year ago and if you’re in their front office, there’s no reason to think you shouldn’t be able to get a favorable return from Bill Smith and the Twins again.
That doesn’t mean Smith has to oblige them.
Ben Revere may be a legitimate full time MLB player some day. Joe Benson could, too. Rene Tosoni has similar potential. Aaron Hicks and Angel Morales? Sure… some day.
Some day, the Twins won’t need Denard Span in their line up. Today is not that day, unless Bill watched the half-assed efforts his guys put forth on the field against the Tigers over the last few games and has decided it’s time to hold a fire sale. In that case, Denard’s name won’t be the only one we see showing up in MLBTradeRumors this week.
– JC
Even if you’re holding a fire sale, you don’t trade the best OF on the team, who is signed for the next 4 years for just $23.25 million. And you certainly don’t trade him for a weak shortstop (his 0.6 fWAR rates 21st among qualifying SS this season) and a relief pitcher (even if he is very good and has 3 years of arbitration eligibility ahead). You look for buyers who might be interested in your veterans with expiring contracts, or those who might be getting too expensive next year. You look to dump the guys who won’t be part of your longterm plan because you’ve decided that they’re dead weight.
You might shop Thome, Kubel, Cuddyer, or Young. You might shop Pavano, Liriano, and even Nathan. Some of them might bring back legitimately good young talent. But I don’t know why Smith would be shopping Span around, unless he’s convinced that Span is at his peak value now. In that case, I’d hope to see him aim higher than what the Nats supposedly have been offering.
I totally agree on all counts, frightwig. Makes no sense whatsoever.
And any deal Smith makes with Washington better bring Ramos back.